Comércio intraindustrial Brasileiro: uma aplicação do índice de Grubel-Lloyd em series temporais para os Estados Brasileiros no período de 2000-2020

Abstract

The objective of this work is to analyze the type of predominant trade pattern existing in the relationship between Brazil and the world, at the state level, through the Grubel-Lloyd index (1975), in the period 2000-2020. Software R was used to compile the database, used for large databases, where: data treatments; selection of years in five-year time series and grouping of raw data and percentages by category and; function application that estimates the index values. The results achieved with this work were that there is a greater presence of inter-industry trade in terms of traded volume, but there is an increase in the intra-industrial pattern for goods of high commercial importance for the country's Trade Balance and with greater added value to the product. It was concluded that the country still exports, in one way, commodities or basic or non-industrialized products, but it has great potential to invest in goods with higher added value identified by intra-industrial trade, despite the reduction of the main product of this trade to levels the beginning of the time series. Thus, there is an increase in international dependence on technology-intensive goods due to regressive specialization and a reduction in international competitiveness